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To Make History, Newcastle United Must Break It
Salah is Newcastle’s Tormentor-in-Chief
Mohamed Salah is the clear frontrunner for the Premier League’s Golden Boot this season, and he has been particularly lethal against Newcastle. In 15 appearances, Salah has scored 10 goals and assisted another 11. Since Eddie Howe took charge, he has scored five and laid on six. Salah’s interventions have usually arrived at critical junctures, proving match-defining.
Late Goals and Liverpool’s Greater Attacking Depth
Newcastle have started some matches quickly, unsettling Liverpool and even taking the lead, but have failed to sustain their intensity. Liverpool’s superior attacking depth, especially among their substitutes, has often been the difference. The Reds have scored seven goals from the 75th minute onwards across seven matches, with four of those materially changing the result.
Bad Luck and Poor Refereeing Decisions
Fortune has rarely favored Newcastle in their recent clashes with Liverpool. Key decisions have gone against them, such as Nick Pope’s red card and a marginal offside call denying Alexander Isak a second goal on his debut. Howe has also been unimpressed by the award of penalties at Anfield.
Profligacy or Lacking Creativity, with Little in Between
Newcastle generate 1.15 expected goals (xG) per game against Liverpool, suggesting they are not creating high-quality opportunities. When they do manage to create chances, they tend to be profligate, with their shooting distance lengthening against the Reds. Interestingly, in three of seven meetings, Newcastle have produced a higher xG than Liverpool.
Newcastle Blowing Themselves Out
When Newcastle press high and disrupt Liverpool, they can be devastating in transition, with Isak terrorizing the opposition defense. However, maintaining this approach for the majority of the match has been beyond Howe’s side. Often, they have unsettled Liverpool with their early intensity, only to tire and be picked off later in the game.
Could It Be Eighth or Ninth Time Lucky?
There is a universal feeling among the Newcastle squad and staff that they owe Liverpool several. Howe’s failure to defeat the league’s table-toppers does not accurately reflect the balance of the previous seven fixtures, and there are genuine reasons to believe it can be different at Anfield and even at Wembley.
“We need close to a perfect game,” Howe said. “Learning from the recent game against Manchester City will be a useful starting point, where we didn’t execute the aggressive game plan that we wanted. We didn’t attack enough — we need to learn from that at Anfield, which is a really great environment to play football, but not a great environment if you’re not totally there.”
Time will tell, but surely, by the law of averages, Newcastle’s time must come soon — both against Liverpool and in Wembley finals.
Call to Action: Keep an eye out for Newcastle’s upcoming clashes with Liverpool, as the Magpies look to finally break their curse against the Merseyside giants and secure their first major trophy in over half a century.
