Will Watford Challenge for Championship Glory?
Watford +0.25 at odds of 1.80 presents an appealing betting opportunity on the Asian Handicap market. The Hornets look well-positioned to avoid defeat against Stoke, with stakes split between 0 and +0.5 handicaps in pursuit of an away victory.
Watford demonstrated their superiority in the most recent head-to-head clash, securing a commanding 3-0 win at Vicarage Road. Their historical record against Stoke is impressive, with 5 wins from the last 8 meetings, alongside one draw and two defeats.
Recent Form and Team Analysis
Stoke City enters this match after consecutive defeats, most recently falling 3-1 at home to Middlesbrough. Despite maintaining 47% possession and registering three shots on target, with Joon-Ho Bae finding the net, they struggled to impose themselves.
In contrast, Watford arrives with momentum after back-to-back victories. Their latest triumph saw them dispatch Luton Town 2-0, controlling 54% of possession and recording five shots on target. Tom Dele-Bashiru and Edo Kayembe provided the goals in an assured performance.
Key statistics for both teams:
• Watford has covered the +0.25 line in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures
• Stoke has failed to cover the -0.25 line in 17 of their previous 20 matches
• The Hornets have scored in 7 of their last 10 away games
• Stoke averages just 1.0 goals from 6.8 attempts per match
Expected lineups:
Stoke City (4-2-3-1): Johansson; Tchamadeu, Phillips, Rose, Stevens; Pearson, Seko; Manhoef, Moran, Bae; Gallagher
Watford (4-2-3-1): Selvik; Ngakia, Abankwah, Pollock, Larouci; Dele-Bashiru, Louza; Ince, Kayembe, Chakvetadze; Bayo
Betting markets indicate a 55.6% probability for our Watford +0.25 selection, though our analysis suggests the true likelihood lies between 60-65%. This discrepancy presents value for bettors.
The Championship fixture offers numerous betting opportunities, with Both Teams to Score priced at 1.67 and Over/Under 2.5 Goals markets finely balanced.
Take advantage of this value bet today – back Watford +0.25 at 1.80 and watch the action unfold at the bet365 Stadium.
Remember to gamble responsibly. Odds are subject to change.
